Friday, September 16, 2016

The fight over cash


As capital-guzzlers swallow profitable group companies, due diligence will be required of the consolidated entity

By Mohan Sule

It is testing time for minority shareholders. The Securities and Exchange Board of India wants companies to have at least 25% public holding to be eligible for listing. The aim is to increase the free float for better price discovery. The fallout was expected to be enhanced transparency and better corporate governance. Yet two recent instances show that promoters act in a way that benefits them rather than the ordinary shareholders. The furor over the Vedanta-Cairn India merger and the complex restructuring of the Aditya Birla conglomerate once again demonstrate that India Inc merely complies with the norms as a formality. A share-swap ratio that did not compensate the shareholders of the thriving companies being amalgamated with the capital-guzzling ventures was not the only sore point. The concern is that the valuations of the resultant entities will be lower than those of the standalone cash-rich firms. To provide a voice to the small shareholders, the regulator had earlier amended rules for passage of proposals requiring approval by a majority of the ordinary shareholders. Domestic and foreign institutional investors together by and large form the largest non-promoter bloc. Many of them prefer to exit on spotting corporate governance issues. Of late, some have preferred to stay and put up a fight. The promoters justify such exercises for their cost-efficiency. Were they to go the market to raise equity, they would have to offer shares at low discounting due to the capital-intensive and long gestation period of their projects. Dilution of equity is another worry for investors fretting over the leveraged balance sheet.

The owners do have valid arguments. A rejig is usually undertaken for synergies of operations, scale and products. Why should they not use the cushion of a profitable enterprise in their fold to sustain and consolidate a struggling enterprise? After all, they did have the foresight to foray into lucrative sectors for growth after others in their stable had stabilized or become sluggish. The drawback is that the ordinary shareholders might not have anticipated such an eventuality. A small investor buys into a standalone company’s capability and potential. The valuations imparted by the market to a provider of software services might not be the same as those to a hardware maker in the same group. The promoter might want to merge the two to offer a one-stop shop for computer services. The underlying aim might be to use the reserves of the one that is thriving to offer support to the other that burns cash. The margins of the businesses might be different, depending on their market position. The marginal shareholder of the profitable company has two options in this scenario: sell or swallow. The lesson for investors in a momentum stock is to be prepared to share the reward or burden of other subsidiaries. This will require scrutiny not only of the company to which exposure is sought but of other group enterprises as well. Not surprisingly, companies belonging to conglomerates in diversified fields do not enjoy the same discounting as those that stick to their competency.    
 

 Here lies the paradox. The market wants companies to use their cash hoard for better return ratios. With the era of industries across the board surging during a bull run and stagnating during a downturn fading, taking advantage of businesses that are performing comparatively better during a lull in some others makes sense for promoters. Critics of K M Birla’s move to make Grasim a holding company perhaps have not noticed ITC is getting a high discounting because of strategic forays into different markets to flank the cigarette business. Many times disclosures about expansion and diversification are met with mixed reactions even if these are to be financed by internal accruals and nominal debt. The market is worried about the huge cash drain from RIL’s balance sheet to finance the expensive telecom experiment. The disruptive tariff plan means break-even will not be anytime soon as the emphasis seems to be on market share rather on the margins. Some analysts, on the other hand, sense the foray as a foil to the controversial gas venture and the refining legacy because of the emergence of alternate energy sources such as wind, solar and shale and volatility in prices of crude. There are instances of new undertakings outpacing the parent: Bajaj FinServ is getting a huge premium over legacy two-wheeler maker Bajaj Auto. Even different entities of a group in similar niche segments are not immune to different perceptions of the market. The charitable view of ICICI Bank hinges on the expected trigger of listing the insurance subsidiary. In view of no clear trend to rely on, investors need to give the benefit of doubt to the promoters of the Vedanta and Aditya Birla groups.

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