Monday, November 16, 2020

Repent at leisure

 16 November 2020

The Amazon-Future Group tiff has exposed the downside of foreign investors’ lifeline to Indian companies

 

There are many reasons a company feels compelled to issue shares to non-promoters. The need for funds to undertake expansion to grow is among the chief. Resorting to debt has limits. Servicing chips away large chunks of cash flows. The IPO expands the equity base. It is an expression of confidence that the earnings per share will not only keep pace with the dilution but will justify the discounting. Listing provides an exit route to angels and venture capitalists, who have reposed faith in the promoters, at hefty gains. Tucked in at the end is the benefit of visibility. A good financial performance and a bright outlook attract more investors. The increase in demand helps to market future offerings at a still better premium. Even an offer lower than the ruling market price goes to fortify reserves to dip into during emergencies or reward loyal shareholders during difficult times. Corporate actions can range from buybacks to bonus shares. A high dividend yield can stem a stock’s slide that might be due to macro factors. These upsides are accompanied by responsibilities. The first is complete transparency by disseminating information that can be trivial as well as grave. The need-to-know can span changes in senior managerial personnel, plans for mopping resources, restructuring and launch of new products besides deliberations of board meetings and interaction with big-ticket investors. The idea is to put in public domain anything that might influence price movements.         

 

Many segments come under the purview of two regulators after a float. Banks operate as per the guidelines issued by the Reserve Bank of India and the Securities Exchange Board of India. The Department of Telecommunications and the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India as well as the market regulator have oversight on telecom services providers. The Competition Commission of India weighs in on acquisitions and Sebi on open offers to take the process forward. Ensuring uniform treatment to all classes of investors is expensive. Some of the grumblings about the cumbersome procedures have been acknowledged. The playing field now factors the problems of issuers apart from investors. Truncated balance sheets are permitted to capture the salient financial features instead of cramming with inconsequential data to meet reporting requirement. Funds can be raised in a matter of days unlike the earlier drawn-out drill. The period from closure of issue to debut has been shortened. After weighing the cost-return of staying in the trading ring, some eventually decide to retreat from public gaze. They delist. A majority are at in mature industries. The business model is not a cash-guzzler. If companies are discovering the downside of access to easy money, of late they are realizing how dangerous the charm of foreign investment can be. Currency fluctuations knocking down dollar-denominated returns and tightening of liquidity back home can trigger a sell-off. International participants demand compensation to claw back the loss suffered on revelation of governance missteps. Drug producers have been dogged with patent infringement litigations. Tech solution majors have faced class action suits for concealment of frauds and depreciating costly buys. ADRs on Nasdaq and NYSE require additional compliance with the SEC.

The arbitration court in Hague end September ruled against the Union government on retrospective taxation including interest and penalties amounting to Rs 22000 crore levied on Vodafone for not deducting tax source on the US$11-billion payment for 67% equity of Hutchison Whampoa’s India mobile business in 2007. The latest flashpoint is the enforcement of contract between the Future Group and Amazon of the US, with about 5% stake in Future Retail after it bought 49% in holding company Future Coupons for Rs 1500 crore in August 2019. The US e-commerce giant has contended the Rs 24700-crore deal to sell the brick-and-mortar outlets and the logistics and warehousing businesses to Reliance Industries contravened non-compete agreements. The ramifications of the case will be felt beyond the two squabbling partners. A prolonged legal battle will put a spoke in the plans of India’s most valuable company to expand the physical presence and merge the synergies with the digital prowess to emerge as a formidable cyber market-force. Crucially, the valuations demanded from foreign investors for exposure to the retail venture might have been based on the recent acquisition. For investors chasing companies pulling in dollars, the stakes could not be starker: riding the exuberant sprint or fearing the pain of a sprain.

 

-Mohan Sule


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